Pardon me while I think aloud, but this has been on my mind lately. Recently, I wrote a couple of posts (this and this) on my blog Crashburn Alley detailing why I think it would be a good idea to trade Ryan Howard. It inspired a lot of debate and it was linked to heavily [...]
Posted by Bill Baer on Saturday, March 6, 2010 at 7:40 am
Filed under Authors A-F, Bill Baer, Main Page, Miscellaneous · Tagged Babe Ruth, Blog, Bs, Chris Young, Game, Garuntee, Geeks, Gm, Happ, Jayson Werth, Lefty, MLB, Nerd, Philadelphia Daily News, Philadelphia News, Phillies, Poor Work Ethic, Promise, Regression, Ryan Howard, Sammy Sosa, Scientist, Stat
Kevin Youkilis is a good baseball player. A very valuable one at that. Since earning regular playing time in 2006, he has never had an on-base percentage lower than .381 and has finished with a .958 and .961 OPS the last two seasons. That would be enough to impress you, but he’s also regarded as [...]
Posted by Bill Baer on Friday, February 26, 2010 at 5:14 am
Filed under Authors A-F, Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News, News · Tagged Base Percentage, Baseball Player, Boston Herald, Crowd, Discipline, Grounders, Heavy Metal Band, Kevin Youkilis, Majors, Minor Leaguer, Ops, Playing Time, Span, Two Seasons, Walks
My goodness, the Washington Nationals have been bad. Since moving out of Montreal after the 2004 season, the Nats have won 343 games and lost 466 for a .424 winning percentage. They have finished dead last in the NL East in four out of five seasons, and fourth once in 2007. In that time span, [...]
Posted by Bill Baer on Sunday, February 21, 2010 at 1:29 pm
Filed under Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News, Prospects · Tagged Amateur Draft, Cutting Corners, Daily Basis, Dave Cameron, Dearth, Five Seasons, Kansas City Royals, Major League Baseball, Mark Zuckerman, Nats, Nl East, Orioles, Pessimism, Pittsburgh Pirates, Six Weeks, Time Span, Trip To Florida, Viera, Washington Nationals, Washington Times
BDD Clone Wars: Bill Baer and Cole Hamels… Crashburn Alley blogger and BDD contributor Baer had a solid ‘09. His combination of wit, snark and Saber-slanted analysis and excellent regular season writing at both his blog and BDD earned him a gig writing about the Phillies during the ‘09 postseason as a member of Rob [...]
Posted by Brian Joseph on Saturday, February 20, 2010 at 6:32 am
Filed under 20 Questions, Bill Baer, Brian Joseph · Tagged Adopting A Child, Adopting A Child From Africa, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball World, Baseball Writer, Clone Wars, Cole Hamels, Espn, Favorite Team, Hardball Times, John Brattain, John Kruk, Lenny Dykstra, Matt Swartz, Philadelphia Flyers, Philadelphia Phillies, Pizza Cutter, Questions Series, Rob Neyer, Tommy Bennett
The phrase “in the best shape of his life” and its variants are a sportswriting cliche these days. Players who had disappointing performances in 2009 will show up to spring training several pounds slimmer, will have adopted a new strenuous workout regimen, and/or will have developed a new pitch or batting stance. This gives fans [...]
Posted by Bill Baer on Wednesday, February 17, 2010 at 2:42 pm
Filed under Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News · Tagged Batting Stance, Cliche, Courier Post, David Wells, Die Hard, Dread, Full Disclosure, Major League, Newcomer, Nlcs, Phillie, Phillies Fan, Pitchers And Catchers, Quot, Roy Halladay, Scott Lauber, Spring Training, Strenuous Workout, Variants, Workout Regimen
The great Frank Thomas has called it quits, putting the last bit of punctuation at the end of the awe-inspiring sentence he called a career. Dubbed “The Big Hurt”, Thomas terrorized American League pitching for 19 seasons, 16 of which were spent in Chicago’s South Side with the White Sox. Now that his spikes are [...]
Posted by Bill Baer on Friday, February 12, 2010 at 12:38 pm
Filed under Authors A-F, Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News, News · Tagged Albert Pujols, Barry Bonds, Baseball Player, Bbwaa, Bert Blyleven, Foregone Conclusion, Frank Thomas, Hadn, Hall Of Fame, Majors, Mickey Mantle, Punctuation, Roberto Alomar, S South, Slam Dunk, Slg, Spikes, Ted Williams, Todd Helton, White Sox
From 2001-09 with an average payroll of only $54 million, the Minnesota Twins somehow managed to win 88 games per season on average. In those nine seasons, they earned a post-season berth on five different occasions. The Florida Marlins and Oakland Athletics are the prototypical examples of teams that achieved a lot with very little, [...]
Posted by Bill Baer on Sunday, February 7, 2010 at 8:39 pm
Filed under Baseball Info, Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News · Tagged Bill Smith, Carlos Gomez, Center Fielder, Florida Marlins, Formula For Success, Joe Mauer, Johan Santana, Kevin Slowey, Lew Ford, Livan Hernandez, Michael Cuddyer, Milwaukee Brewers, Minnesota Twins, New Breed, New York Mets, Nobodies, Oakland Athletics, Prototypical Examples, Rondell White, Scott Baker
the players are the investments of 30 Major League teams and each team has a right to ensure that those investments are able to return a profit. As Jason Rosenberg would say, “It’s about the money, stupid!”
Posted by Bill Baer on Wednesday, February 3, 2010 at 5:14 am
Filed under Baseball Info, Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News, Miscellaneous · Tagged Alcohol Prohibition, Babe Ruth, Baseball Field, Blogosphere, Dr James, Exercise Products, Face Value, Goliath, Innocent Kid, Irritability, Josh Hancock, Major League Baseball, Mickey Mantle, Mlb Teams, Morosi, Renowned Doctors, Sound Judgment, Staffs, Time Associates, Top Priority
As Vegas Watch points out, PECOTA is the best in the business at doing what it does.
Posted by Bill Baer on Friday, January 29, 2010 at 3:44 pm
Filed under Authors A-F, Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News, Miscellaneous, News, Projection Applications, Reference · Tagged Accent, Baseball Fans, Baseball Prospectus, Colin Wyers, Decent Percentage, Gut Reaction, Holy Crap, Nationals, Nostradamus, Pecota Projections, Playing Time, Random Variation, Representative Team, Six Games, Spans, Standard Deviation, Standard Deviations, Sums, World Series, World Series Champion
ERA estimators very much disagree with Happ’s 2009 ERA. Even the most optimistic estimator only puts Happ at 4.33, which is in the same neighborhood as Nick Blackburn, Mike Pelfrey, and Livan Hernandez.
Posted by Bill Baer on Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 8:00 am
Filed under Archive, Baseball Info, Bill Baer, Main Page, Major League News · Tagged Aberration, Alex Rodriguez, Andy Pettitte, Blue Jays, Cole Hamels, Composure, Fastball, Fastballs, Future Hall, Game Score, Kyle Kendrick, Lefty, National League Rookie, Phillies, Raucous Fans, Seam, Strikeout, Toronto Blue Jays, Trade Bait, Trade Rumors